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The UFC APEX in Las Vegas hosts UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai this Saturday, and I’m expecting it to be a pretty good card.
Sure, there might be an abundance of big names featuring, but don’t let that fool you. Many of the best events the promotion has put on this year have been on the smaller side, especially when it comes to matchmaking.
The nature of the game right now is that things tend to be thrown together at the last minute. This can, of course, make choosing the best bets for Overeem vs. Sakai and the like a chore. That shouldn’t make you fear a thing, however, because I have you covered.
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Check out the following bets for the latest installment of the UFC show.
Despite Alistair Overeem’s opening odds to beat Augusto Sakai floating around the -260 mark with most bookies, the line has changed significantly.
It appears that more bettors are putting their faith in Sakai, which can only be good news to those backing Overeem. In my opinion, this price is exceptionally good for the “Demolition Man,” as he is, well, the better fighter.
The Dutchman has his critics, sure. His reputation for having a glass chin precedes him. But as I talked about in my Overeem vs. Sakai betting preview, Overeem has only ever really been demolished by high-level fighters. Most of the guys that have the pleasure of saying that they have knocked him out are elite guys.
The only genuine reasons for anyone backing Sakai in this fight would be the age he has on Reem, and his six-fight win streak. At 29, Sakai is 11 years younger than Overeem, and this cannot be overlooked. But the Dutchman hardly looked old when he knocked the streaking Walt Harris out in May. A guy better than Sakai, in my opinion.
Sakai has the power to trouble Overeem, but finding a way to land it will be the tough part. He doesn’t have the greatest technical skillset, and his hand speed isn’t all that.
Overeem to win makes sense here.
Menifield to Beat Saint Preux (-123)
Nearest caesars casino. Alonzo Menifield gets his shot at Ovince Saint Preux a couple of weeks after their initial clash was scrapped over health concerns.
The two retain their co-main status on Saturday night. While the fight itself is about as glamorous as a chicken in a wig, I think it will be an intriguing contest.
Personally, it’s going to go one of two ways – either Menifield bulldozes the former title contender, or “OSP” outfoxes him and drags him to the cards. A submission for the latter is achievable, no doubt, but a well-conditioned Menifield is a tough man to keep down.
Saint Preux fought Ben Rothwell at heavyweight in his last appearance inside the cage, losing by way of a split decision. Back at his native 205, the 37-year-old will surely fancy a chance of moving himself into title contention. Especially now that Jon Jones has departed for 265 for “money fights.”
Brock I’ll beatcho ass too
— BONY (@JonnyBones) August 31, 2020
Menifield is also coming off a loss in his last appearance inside the Octagon. Devin Clark handed the Californian his first-ever defeat, snapping a nine-fight win streak that saw the former finish all of his opponents.
There are questions over Menifield’s gas tank, but I’m not sure he will be dragged too far into the deep waters by OSP. An early stoppage could be on the cards here, but Menifield’s moneyline odds are more than good enough to bank.
Thiago Moises proved me wrong when he submitted Michael Johnson in May. In the process, he sent a warning out to his peers that his BJJ is super legit.
But at the same time, he was getting hit a lot in that first round against the UFC veteran. Johnson was working him hard, but the tough Brazilian got through it to register his first finish in the UFC and take his record to two wins and two losses from four fights.
He has a chance to move into positive equity against Jalin Turner, a rangy striker who is no stranger to stopping guys on their feet. In fact, Turner has put together a nice little record of stopping everyone he has beaten. 8 KO/TKOs and one submission from nine wins speaks for itself.
But “The Tarantula” is also coming into this fight with a 2-2 record in the UFC, with five losses in total throughout his career. His weaknesses on the ground were exposed by Matt Frevola in a unanimous decision loss in April 2019, and this will be the footage that should get Moises most excited.
Frevola is nowhere near as talented in the submission department. If he was, Turner would have never made it to the judges’ scorecards.
Sure, Turner could land something sweet and stop the contest before it has a chance to begin. But in my opinion, Moises takedowns and submission game are going to be too much for the American.
Rosa to Beat Eubanks (-130)
Karol Rosa enters this contest as a moderate favorite over Sijara Eubanks in a women’s bantamweight clash on the main card.
Eubanks is 3-2 in the UFC, and at 35, doesn’t seem to be a candidate for a title shot any time soon. Things could have been different for “Sarj,” however. Only a few years ago, she was set to appear in an inaugural women’s flyweight title clash. She failed to make weight and Nicco Montano beat Roxanne Modafferi to clinch the strap.
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Far from flashy, Eubanks is a solid grappler but gives up a lot against half-decent strikers. I have spoken previously about how her size lets her down at 135 pounds, and I think that Rosa should be able to exploit this on the night.
Rosa rocks in with a UFC record of 2-0, having put both Lara Procopio and Vanessa Melo to the sword. She is riding a four-fight win streak, and is fresher than Eubanks at just 25.
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I think the Brazilian has the style to shut down Eubanks and should take her to the cards. Her moneyline odds are more than good enough to take, and I’ll be backing her just to win.
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Now you know what my best bets for UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai are, feel free to pick and choose what works for you. If you’re new to wagering on the fights, our UFC betting guide is a good place to start.
You can find trusted bookies on the best sports betting sites if you are ready to get started.
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Enjoy the fights!